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Banks are more than $1 trillion short of capital, analyst says, who fears shortfall will only get worse

Banks are more than $1 trillion short of capital, analyst says, who fears shortfall will only get worse

The new year is fast approaching and one idea for where to invest is the banking sector, whose margins benefit from high interest rates, at undemanding valuations. This statement may surprise those who think that the US banking industry has about $2.2 trillion in capital. But it reduces that figure in several ways. First, he …

Banks are more than $1 trillion short of capital, analyst says, who fears shortfall will only get worse Read More »

Bear markets occur in three stages;  and we've only just started the second, says a seasoned analyst.

Bear markets occur in three stages; and we’ve only just started the second, says a seasoned analyst.

Stocks will start the Black Friday half-session near 10-week highs, having rebounded in part on hopes that the Federal Reserve will slow the pace of interest rate hikes while they wait to see how much tightening previous had an impact on the economy. Investors are therefore anticipating when the Fed will eventually pivot and borrowing …

Bear markets occur in three stages; and we’ve only just started the second, says a seasoned analyst. Read More »

Here are four worrying signs that inflation may persist, from a bond fund manager

Here are four worrying signs that inflation may persist, from a bond fund manager

What last week’s consumer prices and then Tuesday’s producer price index data both show is that the market was pricing in more bad news on the inflation front than of relief, and therefore large short cover rallies when the data is weaker than expected. SocGen This graph from Societe Generale clearly shows that the biggest …

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Even JPMorgan bullish strategist Kolanovic says the markets are getting ahead of themselves.  Here's what he and a Goldman strategist say do now.

Even JPMorgan bullish strategist Kolanovic says the markets are getting ahead of themselves. Here’s what he and a Goldman strategist say do now.

A bullish day is looming for equities after more upbeat inflation news as producer prices fell more than expected. That’s when the clock ticks down to Wednesday’s retail sales report. But while some investors cling to hope that last week’s stock run started with last week’s weaker CPI inflation report, Wall Street remains wary, with …

Even JPMorgan bullish strategist Kolanovic says the markets are getting ahead of themselves. Here’s what he and a Goldman strategist say do now. Read More »

Markets are getting a wake-up call in 2023, says Morgan Stanley, which is offering a plan for investors to prepare.

Markets are getting a wake-up call in 2023, says Morgan Stanley, which is offering a plan for investors to prepare.

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller and several strategists said last week’s weaker-than-expected October CPI, which sent the S&P 500 to its best level in five months, was overblown. His words could be heard as stock futures point to a softer start in the last full week before the start of Thanksgiving. We will also have …

Markets are getting a wake-up call in 2023, says Morgan Stanley, which is offering a plan for investors to prepare. Read More »

Citi says investors have up to six weeks to continue to squeeze bears after inflation surprise

Citi says investors have up to six weeks to continue to squeeze bears after inflation surprise

Well, that was something. Inflation is slightly lower than expected, then the rockets are out – the best one-day percentage increase for the S&P 500 SPX since April 6, 2020 and the best one-day percentage rise for the Nasdaq Composite since March 24, 2020. If inflation has really peaked, there are really only two questions: …

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Tesla investors were the biggest losers in Elon Musk's Twitter deal, and those losses continue

Tesla investors were the biggest losers in Elon Musk’s Twitter deal, and those losses continue

Twitter users have complained a lot about Elon Musk’s early moves after taking over the social network, but their complaints seem small compared to what Tesla Inc. investors had to endure. As the United States focused on election returns on Tuesday night, Tesla TSLA, -7.17% Chief Executive Musk tried to push through the disclosure of …

Tesla investors were the biggest losers in Elon Musk’s Twitter deal, and those losses continue Read More »