Economic Performance/Indicators

The U.S. economy won't collapse under the "weight" of the Fed based on how these sectors perform despite inflation and oil risks

The U.S. economy won’t collapse under the “weight” of the Fed based on how these sectors perform despite inflation and oil risks

Investors are trying to read the tea leaves on a choppy U.S. stock market to gauge whether its recent rise can continue after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell sparked bullish sentiment in late November by indicating that his aggressive stock hikes interest rates could slow. “Stock market management is telling you that the economy is …

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Consumers are starting to act as if recession is imminent

Consumers are starting to act as if recession is imminent

Text size Consumer dissatisfaction is worse among households earning less than $50,000 a year, writes Dana M. Peterson. Frederic J. Brown/AFP/Getty Images About the Author: Dana M. Peterson is chief economist at the Conference Board. Consumers sense that a recession is imminent and are beginning to behave accordingly. They become more and more unhappy by …

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Opinion: High debts and stagflation will bring the mother of all financial crises

Opinion: High debts and stagflation will bring the mother of all financial crises

NEW YORK (Project Syndicate) – The global economy is heading for an unprecedented confluence of economic, financial and debt crises, following the explosion of deficits, borrowing and debt over the past few decades. In the private sector, the mountain of debt includes that of households (such as mortgages, credit cards, car loans, student loans, personal …

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Fed will likely need to keep interest rates above 5% through 2024 to successfully control inflation, says Bullard

Fed will likely need to keep interest rates above 5% through 2024 to successfully control inflation, says Bullard

The Federal Reserve will likely need to keep its benchmark policy rate north of 5% for most of 2023 and into 2024 to successfully control inflation, St. Louis Fed Chairman James Bullard said. during an interview with MarketWatch. “I think we’ll have to stay there through 2023 and into 2024,” Bullard told MarketWatch economics editor …

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“Most economists predict a recession in 2023”: I own a rental property.  Is it the right time to take out a bank loan and renovate or should I wait?

“Most economists predict a recession in 2023”: I own a rental property. Is it the right time to take out a bank loan and renovate or should I wait?

Dear MarketWatch, Along with a sibling, I own a 40+ bedroom rental property in the Caribbean, where we do weekly rentals. It is near the city center but needs repairs and renovations. Is it a good time to go to the bank for a renovation loan? We are also open to changing our business model. …

“Most economists predict a recession in 2023”: I own a rental property. Is it the right time to take out a bank loan and renovate or should I wait? Read More »

Here are four worrying signs that inflation may persist, from a bond fund manager

Here are four worrying signs that inflation may persist, from a bond fund manager

What last week’s consumer prices and then Tuesday’s producer price index data both show is that the market was pricing in more bad news on the inflation front than of relief, and therefore large short cover rallies when the data is weaker than expected. SocGen This graph from Societe Generale clearly shows that the biggest …

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Even JPMorgan bullish strategist Kolanovic says the markets are getting ahead of themselves.  Here's what he and a Goldman strategist say do now.

Even JPMorgan bullish strategist Kolanovic says the markets are getting ahead of themselves. Here’s what he and a Goldman strategist say do now.

A bullish day is looming for equities after more upbeat inflation news as producer prices fell more than expected. That’s when the clock ticks down to Wednesday’s retail sales report. But while some investors cling to hope that last week’s stock run started with last week’s weaker CPI inflation report, Wall Street remains wary, with …

Even JPMorgan bullish strategist Kolanovic says the markets are getting ahead of themselves. Here’s what he and a Goldman strategist say do now. Read More »

Inflation will drop 'significantly' next year, Goldman Sachs economists say

Inflation will drop ‘significantly’ next year, Goldman Sachs economists say

According to Goldman Sachs, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation will fall below 3% by the end of next year as supply constraints ease, the cost of housing declines and the labor market will cool. Such an outcome could allow the Federal Reserve to be less aggressive in its cycle of raising interest rates …

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