ECI

US heading for shallow recession, no respite yet from rate hikes: Reuters poll

US heading for shallow recession, no respite yet from rate hikes: Reuters poll

BENGALURU, Dec 9 (Reuters) – The U.S. economy is heading for a short and shallow recession over the coming year, according to economists polled by Reuters who unanimously expected the Federal Reserve to US opts for a lower interest rate hike of 50 basis points in December. 14. The Fed still has at least half …

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US labor market shrugs off recession fears;  keeps the Fed on a tightening path

US labor market remains tight despite continued claims hitting 10-month high

Weekly jobless claims rise by 4,000 to 230,000 Continuing claims rise by 62,000 to 1.671 million WASHINGTON, Dec 8 (Reuters) – The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits increased moderately last week, indicating a still tight and strong labor market despite growing fears of a recession as the Reserve federal government is …

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The US service industry is picking up;  factory orders are accelerating

The US service industry is picking up; factory orders are accelerating

Activity in the services sector picks up in November Employment rebounds; supplier deliveries are improving Factory orders rise 1.0% in October WASHINGTON, Dec 5 (Reuters) – U.S. service-sector activity unexpectedly accelerated in November, with employment rebounding, offering further evidence of underlying economic dynamics. economy as it prepares for an anticipated recession next year. Monday’s Institute …

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US labor market shrugs off recession fears;  keeps the Fed on a tightening path

US labor market shrugs off recession fears; keeps the Fed on a tightening path

Non-farm payrolls increase by 263,000 in November Unemployment rate stable at 3.7%; turnout drops The average hourly wage increases by 0.6%; up 5.1% year-on-year WASHINGTON, Dec 2 (Reuters) – U.S. employers hired more workers than expected in November and raised wages, ignoring growing fears of a recession, but that is unlikely to stop the Federal …

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US job growth likely slowed further in November;  labor market still tight

US job growth likely slowed further in November; labor market still tight

Non-farm payrolls forecast to increase by 200,000 in November Unemployment rate unchanged at 3.7% Average hourly wage forecast up 0.3%; up 4.6% year-on-year WASHINGTON, Dec 2 (Reuters) – U.S. job growth was likely the weakest in nearly two years in November as growing fears of a recession dampened demand for labor, which could give the …

US job growth likely slowed further in November; labor market still tight Read More »

GLOBAL ECONOMY Global industrial activity declined in November, but price pressures are easing

GLOBAL ECONOMY Global industrial activity declined in November, but price pressures are easing

European PMI data suggests the downturn may not be as severe China Private Survey Shows PMI Contraction Continues Factory activity contracts in Japan and South Korea Polls point to darkening outlook for Asia next year LONDON/TOKYO, Dec 1 (Reuters) – Factory output fell sharply last month due to slowing global demand and the impact of …

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US weekly jobless claims at 3-month high;  resilient capital expenditure

US weekly jobless claims at 3-month high; resilient capital expenditure

Weekly jobless claims increase from 17,000 to 240,000 Continuing claims rise by 48,000 to 1.551 million Core capital goods orders rebound 0.7% in October Shipments of basic capital goods jump 1.3% WASHINGTON, Nov 23 (Reuters) – The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits hit a three-month high last week amid rising tech …

US weekly jobless claims at 3-month high; resilient capital expenditure Read More »

The Fed will raise rates by 50 basis points, but the key rate could be higher

The Fed will raise rates by 50 basis points, but the key rate could be higher

BENGALURU, Nov 18 (Reuters) – The Federal Reserve will downgrade in December to propose a 50 basis point interest rate hike, but economists polled by Reuters say a longer period of U.S. central bank tightening and a higher policy rate peak are the biggest risks to the current outlook. U.S. consumer price inflation unexpectedly fell …

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US retail sales increase steadily;  increase in GDP estimates in the fourth quarter

US retail sales increase steadily; increase in GDP estimates in the fourth quarter

Retail sales rise 1.3% in October Core retail sales increase 0.7%; September sales revised upwards Import prices fall for the fourth consecutive month Manufacturing production increased by 0.1%; previous months revised downwards WASHINGTON, Nov 16 (Reuters) – U.S. retail sales rose more than expected in October as households stepped up purchases of motor vehicles and …

US retail sales increase steadily; increase in GDP estimates in the fourth quarter Read More »