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Bear markets occur in three stages;  and we've only just started the second, says a seasoned analyst.

Bear markets occur in three stages; and we’ve only just started the second, says a seasoned analyst.

Stocks will start the Black Friday half-session near 10-week highs, having rebounded in part on hopes that the Federal Reserve will slow the pace of interest rate hikes while they wait to see how much tightening previous had an impact on the economy. Investors are therefore anticipating when the Fed will eventually pivot and borrowing …

Bear markets occur in three stages; and we’ve only just started the second, says a seasoned analyst. Read More »

Here are four worrying signs that inflation may persist, from a bond fund manager

Here are four worrying signs that inflation may persist, from a bond fund manager

What last week’s consumer prices and then Tuesday’s producer price index data both show is that the market was pricing in more bad news on the inflation front than of relief, and therefore large short cover rallies when the data is weaker than expected. SocGen This graph from Societe Generale clearly shows that the biggest …

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The Dow is outperforming, which could be a sign that the latest stock market rally is about to die down

The Dow is outperforming, which could be a sign that the latest stock market rally is about to die down

As investors seek refuge in more defensive stocks, a market tech sees the Dow’s growing outperformance margin against the S&P 500 and Nasdaq as a sign that the latest rally in stocks could fade quickly like the last . In a Monday note to clients, Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, said the Dow …

The Dow is outperforming, which could be a sign that the latest stock market rally is about to die down Read More »

Citi says investors have up to six weeks to continue to squeeze bears after inflation surprise

Citi says investors have up to six weeks to continue to squeeze bears after inflation surprise

Well, that was something. Inflation is slightly lower than expected, then the rockets are out – the best one-day percentage increase for the S&P 500 SPX since April 6, 2020 and the best one-day percentage rise for the Nasdaq Composite since March 24, 2020. If inflation has really peaked, there are really only two questions: …

Citi says investors have up to six weeks to continue to squeeze bears after inflation surprise Read More »